{"id":9148,"date":"2020-03-17T13:36:22","date_gmt":"2020-03-17T18:36:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cainwatters.com\/digitalblogs\/?p=9148"},"modified":"2020-03-18T09:16:02","modified_gmt":"2020-03-18T14:16:02","slug":"covid-investment-update","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cainwatters.com\/digitalblogs\/covid-investment-update\/","title":{"rendered":"CWA Model Performance Update"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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March 17 update on T Bank & UMA Model Performance from affiliate Tectonic Advisors<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Given the veracity of the market decline yesterday, we felt it pertinent to provide you with a quick snapshot of how the CWA T Bank and UMA models are doing.<\/p>

Monday, March 16, 2020, was one of the worst single days for performance in market history.\u00a0 Selling was indiscriminate and persistent throughout the day.\u00a0 The T Bank Moderate Growth Model (Model 5) captured 49% of the downside of the S&P 500 Index yesterday, and only 45% of the broader market performance as measured by the S&P 1500 Equal Weighted Index.<\/p>

Year to date, T Bank Model 5 has caught about 64% of the S&P 500 decline since February 20th and has caught only 51% of the decline in the broader market.\u00a0 <\/strong>This is right in line with expectations versus the S&P 500 and above expectations versus the broader market.<\/p>

Action by the CWA Investment Committee <\/u><\/strong><\/h5>

The CWA Investment Committee met yesterday and initiated a rebalance for the Qualified Plan Models at T Bank and the UMA Models at TD Ameritrade.<\/strong>\u00a0 This rebalance will take place in the coming days.\u00a0 The purpose of the rebalance is to take model allocations back to their target weights.\u00a0 Currently, models have drifted to be below target weights for equities and above target weights for fixed income.\u00a0 This rebalance will effectively pull capital from the fixed income side of the allocation and reinvest it in equities.\u00a0 The Investment Committee is also discussing further plans of action for investment portfolios.<\/p>

Volatility finished yesterday at an all-time high\u2014much higher than even the worst parts of 2008.\u00a0 On days like yesterday, with volatility reflecting the amount of panic in the markets, selling is largely irrational.\u00a0 We would expect the market to price stocks accordingly, as the effects of the COVID-19 virus on the economy and on corporate earnings and cash flows are more well-known and understood.<\/p>

In the meantime, we utilize managers that base their investment decisions on fundamental analysis precisely for market periods like this. Our managers already have a good understanding of the health of the companies they have invested in and therefore have a basis for evaluating how they can weather ongoing economic disruption.<\/p>

Government Intervention <\/u><\/strong><\/h5>

The Fed cut rates to 0 \u2013 0.25% in an emergency move on Sunday, and also announced $700 Billion in Quantitative Easing and further liquidity programs to support the financial system.\u00a0 We are currently watching for a follow-up fiscal stimulus package from Congress that, in tandem with the moves by the Fed this week, could help the markets to stabilize in the near term.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Want the latest updates? Bookmark our COVID-19 Resources Page<\/a><\/span><\/span> for easy access to updates and guidance from CWA and its partners.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Periodic communications may continue, however please contact your planning teams or Tectonic Advisors with any additional questions or concerns. Bookmark our COVID-19 Resources Page<\/a> for easy access to updates and guidance from CWA and its partners.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Our team is here to help. Consult with a member about your situation today.\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tREACH OUT<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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Cain Watters is a Registered Investment Advisor.\u00a0 Cain Watters only conducts business in states where it is properly registered or is excluded from registration requirements. Registration is not an endorsement of the firm by securities regulators and does not mean the adviser has achieved a specific level of skill or ability.\u00a0 Request Form ADV Part 2A for a complete description of Cain Watters investment advisory services. Diversification does not ensure a profit and may not protect against loss in declining markets.\u00a0 No inference should be drawn that managed accounts will be profitable in the future or that the Manager will be able to achieve its objectives.\u00a0 Past performance is not an indicator of future results.\u00a0 All investments and strategies have the potential for profit or loss. Different types of investments involve higher and lower levels of risk. Historical performance returns for investment indexes and\/or categories, usually do not deduct transaction and\/or custodial charges or an advisory fee, which would decrease historical performance results. There are no assurances that an investor\u2019s portfolio will match or exceed any specific benchmark. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market or economic conditions.<\/span><\/i><\/i><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

March 17 update on T Bank & UMA Model Performance from affiliate Tectonic Advisors Given the veracity of the market decline yesterday, we felt it pertinent to provide you with a quick snapshot of how the CWA T Bank and UMA models are doing. 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